Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.497765 6.600729e-01 0.846177 1.072170 1.336037 1.631410 1.984038
2025-03-23 0.301769 5.046728e-01 0.771242 1.132126 1.593416 2.149771 2.857786
2025-03-30 0.179315 3.878174e-01 0.702743 1.173763 1.823365 2.653924 3.761998
2025-04-06 0.100874 2.943814e-01 0.633487 1.191264 2.013844 3.117897 4.647259
2025-04-13 0.048352 2.093721e-01 0.545477 1.156248 2.117605 3.467020 5.399689
2025-04-20 0.023343 1.589937e-01 0.496203 1.165716 2.277948 3.895436 6.272023
2025-04-27 0.010046 1.215059e-01 0.455498 1.177204 2.435678 4.322737 7.155736
2025-05-04 0.002617 8.392184e-02 0.395156 1.137201 2.501365 4.613757 7.855799
2025-05-11 0.000261 5.551391e-02 0.339467 1.090635 2.545592 4.868555 8.507574
2025-05-18 0.000001 4.061755e-02 0.312931 1.096932 2.677479 5.258863 9.363382
2025-05-25 NaN 2.589408e-02 0.272749 1.061795 2.728496 5.521359 10.036232
2025-06-01 NaN 2.178810e-02 0.273826 1.124425 2.963191 6.082901 11.166126
2025-06-08 NaN 1.442475e-02 0.250288 1.122311 3.078964 6.464423 12.049021
2025-06-15 NaN 1.295835e-02 0.260606 1.212144 3.379874 7.160106 13.426431
2025-06-22 NaN 1.035852e-02 0.259671 1.270732 3.622405 7.767163 14.682928
2025-06-29 NaN 7.234136e-03 0.248299 1.297059 3.801142 8.273047 15.795117
2025-07-06 NaN 3.681710e-03 0.219506 1.263938 3.854323 8.567833 16.586724
2025-07-13 NaN 2.124218e-03 0.206429 1.276071 4.001430 9.025449 17.639371
2025-07-20 NaN 1.129067e-03 0.194717 1.289365 4.150484 9.489010 18.708134
2025-07-27 NaN 2.952561e-04 0.169431 1.247340 4.174323 9.733623 19.434606
2025-08-03 NaN 2.313015e-05 0.144842 1.198006 4.175741 9.936224 20.095780
2025-08-10 NaN 2.728025e-07 0.135279 1.204860 4.305180 10.369630 21.133462
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.117013 1.167468 4.327037 10.608121 21.859334